{
  "$schema": "adaptorch.benchmark.evidence/v1",
  "brand": "AdaptOrch",
  "title": "AdaptOrch verifier-gate evidence",
  "generated_at": "2026-07-24T22:17:03.598424+00:00",
  "generated_by": "scripts/build_adaptorch_benchmark_json.py",
  "reproduce": {
    "validate_without_api": "python scripts/run_hard_v3_arm_c.py --validate-only",
    "paired_run": "python scripts/run_hard_v3_arm_c.py --baseline-config artifacts/benchmarks/hard_v3_arm_c/ledger_only/ledger_only_paper_n30.json --arm-c-config artifacts/benchmarks/hard_v3_arm_c/ledger_only/ledger_only_arm_c_n30.json --repeats 1",
    "deterministic_seeds": true
  },
  "claim_boundary": {
    "scope": "local synthetic regression evidence",
    "is_official_benchmark": false,
    "is_publication": false,
    "is_release_go_input": false,
    "full50_go": "NO_GO",
    "statement": "Internal reproducible regression evidence on a synthetic task suite. Not an official benchmark, not a publication, and not a release gate input."
  },
  "experiments": {
    "verifier_gate_ledger": {
      "id": "verifier_gate_ledger",
      "question": "Does gating selection on an independent verifier decide better than not gating?",
      "family": "ledger_reconciliation_v3",
      "family_label": "Ledger reconciliation",
      "n_units": 30,
      "repeats": 1,
      "model": "gemma-4-31b",
      "provider": "Cerebras",
      "arms": {
        "A": {
          "name": "paper",
          "accuracy_pct": 73.3,
          "run_id": "20260724_003533_e9ead96990ef"
        },
        "B": {
          "name": "robust-no-verifier",
          "accuracy_pct": 83.3,
          "run_id": "20260724_004200_a09cc27fe5ac"
        },
        "C": {
          "name": "robust-verifier",
          "accuracy_pct": 96.7,
          "run_id": "20260724_040855_d757f7b9e0ab"
        },
        "D": {
          "name": "robust-judge",
          "accuracy_pct": 90.0,
          "run_id": "20260724_012313_9be8d686609b"
        }
      },
      "headline": {
        "caught_by_verifier": 8,
        "caught_unit_ids": [
          "h3L3",
          "h3L4",
          "h3L5",
          "h3L11",
          "h3L17",
          "h3L21",
          "h3L25",
          "h3L26"
        ],
        "regressed_by_verifier": 1,
        "regressed_unit_ids": [
          "h3L1"
        ],
        "net_units_gained": 7
      },
      "units": [
        {
          "id": "h3L1",
          "unverified_pass": true,
          "verified_pass": false
        },
        {
          "id": "h3L2",
          "unverified_pass": true,
          "verified_pass": true
        },
        {
          "id": "h3L3",
          "unverified_pass": false,
          "verified_pass": true
        },
        {
          "id": "h3L4",
          "unverified_pass": false,
          "verified_pass": true
        },
        {
          "id": "h3L5",
          "unverified_pass": false,
          "verified_pass": true
        },
        {
          "id": "h3L6",
          "unverified_pass": true,
          "verified_pass": true
        },
        {
          "id": "h3L7",
          "unverified_pass": true,
          "verified_pass": true
        },
        {
          "id": "h3L8",
          "unverified_pass": true,
          "verified_pass": true
        },
        {
          "id": "h3L9",
          "unverified_pass": true,
          "verified_pass": true
        },
        {
          "id": "h3L10",
          "unverified_pass": true,
          "verified_pass": true
        },
        {
          "id": "h3L11",
          "unverified_pass": false,
          "verified_pass": true
        },
        {
          "id": "h3L12",
          "unverified_pass": true,
          "verified_pass": true
        },
        {
          "id": "h3L13",
          "unverified_pass": true,
          "verified_pass": true
        },
        {
          "id": "h3L14",
          "unverified_pass": true,
          "verified_pass": true
        },
        {
          "id": "h3L15",
          "unverified_pass": true,
          "verified_pass": true
        },
        {
          "id": "h3L16",
          "unverified_pass": true,
          "verified_pass": true
        },
        {
          "id": "h3L17",
          "unverified_pass": false,
          "verified_pass": true
        },
        {
          "id": "h3L18",
          "unverified_pass": true,
          "verified_pass": true
        },
        {
          "id": "h3L19",
          "unverified_pass": true,
          "verified_pass": true
        },
        {
          "id": "h3L20",
          "unverified_pass": true,
          "verified_pass": true
        },
        {
          "id": "h3L21",
          "unverified_pass": false,
          "verified_pass": true
        },
        {
          "id": "h3L22",
          "unverified_pass": true,
          "verified_pass": true
        },
        {
          "id": "h3L23",
          "unverified_pass": true,
          "verified_pass": true
        },
        {
          "id": "h3L24",
          "unverified_pass": true,
          "verified_pass": true
        },
        {
          "id": "h3L25",
          "unverified_pass": false,
          "verified_pass": true
        },
        {
          "id": "h3L26",
          "unverified_pass": false,
          "verified_pass": true
        },
        {
          "id": "h3L27",
          "unverified_pass": true,
          "verified_pass": true
        },
        {
          "id": "h3L28",
          "unverified_pass": true,
          "verified_pass": true
        },
        {
          "id": "h3L29",
          "unverified_pass": true,
          "verified_pass": true
        },
        {
          "id": "h3L30",
          "unverified_pass": true,
          "verified_pass": true
        }
      ],
      "claim_scope": "Single family (ledger), n=30, one run per arm. Absolute per-arm values drift between runs; the arm ordering is the durable signal."
    },
    "paired_confirmatory_ledger": {
      "id": "paired_confirmatory_ledger",
      "question": "On identical tasks inside one run, how much does the verifier gate add?",
      "family": "ledger_reconciliation_v3",
      "family_label": "Ledger reconciliation",
      "n_units": 30,
      "repeats": 1,
      "model": "gemma-4-31b",
      "provider": "Cerebras",
      "session_id": "hard-v3-arm-c-20260724T211511085282Z",
      "baseline_pct": 86.7,
      "verified_pct": 100.0,
      "paired_delta_pp": 13.3,
      "ci95_pp": [
        3.3,
        26.7
      ],
      "significant": true,
      "design": "paired \u2014 both arms run the same units, same seeds, same session",
      "claim_scope": "This paired delta is the durable claim: it cancels run-to-run drift because both arms see identical units inside the same session."
    },
    "family_saturation": {
      "id": "family_saturation",
      "question": "Where can the verifier even be measured?",
      "families": [
        {
          "family": "dependency_reasoning_dag_v3",
          "label": "Dependency DAG",
          "baseline_pct": 100.0,
          "delta_pp": 0.0,
          "has_headroom": false
        },
        {
          "family": "ledger_reconciliation_v3",
          "label": "Ledger reconciliation",
          "baseline_pct": 60.0,
          "delta_pp": 40.0,
          "has_headroom": true
        },
        {
          "family": "python_semantics_mcq_v3",
          "label": "Python semantics",
          "baseline_pct": 100.0,
          "delta_pp": 0.0,
          "has_headroom": false
        }
      ],
      "gate_passed": false,
      "gate_reason": "only 1 families have headroom (min required for gate: 3); gate inconclusive",
      "honest_note": "Two of three families are already solved by the baseline, so no gating method can show a difference there. We only claim on the family that still had room to measure."
    },
    "direct_arm_calibration": {
      "id": "direct_arm_calibration",
      "question": "How hard are these tasks for the model with no help at all?",
      "model": "gemma-4-31b",
      "target_band_pct": [
        30,
        70
      ],
      "families": [
        {
          "family": "ledger_reconciliation_v3",
          "label": "Ledger reconciliation",
          "pass_rate_pct": 83.3,
          "n": 24
        },
        {
          "family": "python_semantics_mcq_v3",
          "label": "Python semantics",
          "pass_rate_pct": 87.5,
          "n": 24
        },
        {
          "family": "dependency_reasoning_dag_v3",
          "label": "Dependency DAG",
          "pass_rate_pct": 45.8,
          "n": 24
        }
      ]
    }
  }
}
